Insights: Financials

Energy, Financials, Healthcare, Macro, Tech / Media / Telecom

Senate Republican negotiations on changes to the House-passed reconciliation bill are intensifying. It appears that changes under consideration in the Senate increase the deficit by ~$600-700b beyond the House-passed bill’s $2.4t deficit impact, though there is consideration of adding provisions to try to close that gap. House conservatives are...

Energy, Financials, Healthcare, Macro, Tech / Media / Telecom

Senate Republicans have indicated that the committees responsible for various components of their emerging reconciliation legislation will be releasing draft text in the next couple of days. The Senate Finance Committee, which is responsible for taxes and entitlement programs (e.g., Medicaid, ACA) is likely to be last, with release of its text...

Bank Capital/Liquidity (SLR)

Multiple press reports (stories here and here) indicate that the Trump administration is potentially within weeks of issuing revisions to the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR). This is consistent with Secretary Bessent’s recent comments that implied SLR changes are on a fairly fast track, whereas Basel III/other capital reforms are not in as...

Bank Capital/Stress Tests

The Fed has issued a proposed rule to reform the stress testing framework for banks. The proposal would average the results of the stress tests over two years to reduce the volatility of banks’ capital requirements. Furthermore, the proposal would also give banks three more months to come into compliance with the capital requirements that are...

While President Trump last week said that he’s not considering firing Fed Chair Powell, there are lingering questions about whether he has the authority to do so, and whether he may eventually choose to re-shape the Fed Board’s makeup by firing other governors (or potentially change his mind about firing Powell). Courts have already clarified...

Student Lending

Recent/upcoming events… Republicans on the House Education Committee & Workforce (E&W) Committee have passed – on a party-line 21-14 vote – their portion of the party’s reconciliation (tax/spending) legislation. E&W had been given a minimum spending reduction goal of $330b, but preliminary estimates from the...