Insights: Financials

Financials, Healthcare, Macro, Tech / Media / Telecom

Reconciliation and Recissions

Speaker Johnson (R-LA), House Budget Committee Chair Arrington (R-TX), and Senate Finance Committee Chair Crapo (R-ID) have all confirmed their intent to enact another two reconciliation bills prior to the next election, with the first coming this fall. As I previously noted, Speaker Johnson, Rep. Roy (R-TX), and Sen. Johnson (R-WI) had already...

Energy, Financials, Healthcare, Macro, Tech / Media / Telecom

Senate Republicans yesterday overcame the first procedural hurdle in passing the reconciliation bill and are planning for a Monday vote on final passage, though numerous of them continue to have reservations. House Majority Leader Scalise (R-LA) has indicated a House vote on the bill could take place by Tuesday or Wednesday, though a significant...

The Senate yesterday passed stablecoin legislation on a 68-30 vote, with the support of 18 Democrats. The House Financial Services Committee (HFSC) has passed both a stablecoin and broader crypto market structure bill in recent weeks. The House Agriculture Committee also passed the market structure bill. HFSC Chair Hill (R-AR) has to-date...

Energy, Financials, Healthcare, Macro, Tech / Media / Telecom

Senate Republican negotiations on changes to the House-passed reconciliation bill are intensifying. It appears that changes under consideration in the Senate increase the deficit by ~$600-700b beyond the House-passed bill’s $2.4t deficit impact, though there is consideration of adding provisions to try to close that gap. House conservatives are...

Energy, Financials, Healthcare, Macro, Tech / Media / Telecom

Senate Republicans have indicated that the committees responsible for various components of their emerging reconciliation legislation will be releasing draft text in the next couple of days. The Senate Finance Committee, which is responsible for taxes and entitlement programs (e.g., Medicaid, ACA) is likely to be last, with release of its text...

Financials, Housing

GSEs Exiting Conservatorship

Over the last week, President Trump has made two notable statements regarding a GSE exit from conservatorship. Last week, he posted that he is giving “serious consideration to bringing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac public.” This week, he posted that the government “will keep its implicit guarantees.” Separately, Secretary Bessent reiterated prior...