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Macro
Russia/Ukraine
The U.S. and Ukraine signed a minerals deal this week that gives the U.S. preferential access to Ukrainian minerals and that will help fund Ukrainian reconstruction. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the deal “signals clearly to Russia that the Trump administration is committed to a peace process centered on a free, sovereign and prosperous Ukraine...
Macro
Iran
Following three rounds of negotiations with Iran on reaching a new nuclear deal, President Trump yesterday threatened secondary sanctions on any country that does business with Iran. Those comments come after Trump said last week that he is open to meeting with Iranian leadership to secure a new nuclear deal and that he still prefers diplomacy to...
Healthcare
Medicaid
The House Energy & Commerce (E&C) Committee is targeting next Wednesday (May 7) for a vote on its portion of Republican’s reconciliation (tax/spending) legislation. Ahead of that vote, there have been a variety of developments that will influence the scope and scale of the Medicaid cuts being considered by the committee.
Financials
Bank Capital/Stress Tests
The Fed has issued a proposed rule to reform the stress testing framework for banks. The proposal would average the results of the stress tests over two years to reduce the volatility of banks’ capital requirements. Furthermore, the proposal would also give banks three more months to come into compliance with the capital requirements that are...
Financials
Fed Personnel
While President Trump last week said that he’s not considering firing Fed Chair Powell, there are lingering questions about whether he has the authority to do so, and whether he may eventually choose to re-shape the Fed Board’s makeup by firing other governors (or potentially change his mind about firing Powell). Courts have already clarified...
Financials
Student Lending
Recent/upcoming events… Republicans on the House Education Committee & Workforce (E&W) Committee have passed – on a party-line 21-14 vote – their portion of the party’s reconciliation (tax/spending) legislation. E&W had been given a minimum spending reduction goal of $330b, but preliminary estimates from the...
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