Insights: Macro

Energy, Healthcare, Macro

Last night, the Senate Finance Committee (SFC) released its draft contribution to the reconciliation bill, covering taxes and Medicaid. Notably, the SFC draft is more aggressive than the House version of the bill in cutting Medicaid, takes a slightly more moderate approach to the House’s cuts to IRA clean energy credits, and extends the SALT cap...

Energy, Financials, Healthcare, Macro, Tech / Media / Telecom

Senate Republican negotiations on changes to the House-passed reconciliation bill are intensifying. It appears that changes under consideration in the Senate increase the deficit by ~$600-700b beyond the House-passed bill’s $2.4t deficit impact, though there is consideration of adding provisions to try to close that gap. House conservatives are...

Energy, Financials, Healthcare, Macro, Tech / Media / Telecom

Senate Republicans have indicated that the committees responsible for various components of their emerging reconciliation legislation will be releasing draft text in the next couple of days. The Senate Finance Committee, which is responsible for taxes and entitlement programs (e.g., Medicaid, ACA) is likely to be last, with release of its text...

Russia Sanctions

President Trump is considering imposing additional sanctions on Russia following its recent attacks on Ukraine and its intransigence in negotiations, which Trump is threatening to abandon. Meanwhile on Capitol Hill, 80 senators have co-sponsored legislation that would impose new sanctions on Russia. G7 leaders also want to increase pressure on...

Despite the Court of International Trade (CIT) throwing out the “reciprocal” tariffs the Trump administration imposed (and subsequently suspended) via the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), National Economic Council (NEC) Director Hassett this morning said that he expects negotiations that are underway with various countries to...

IEEPA/Reciprocal Tariff Litigation

In a unanimous decision, a three-judge panel on the U.S. Court of International Trade (CIT) has ruled against President Trump’s imposition of tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). The decision (involving two cases, V.O.S. Selections v. U.S. and Oregon v. U.S.) orders the Trump administration to cease...